Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 1.225479 1.395710 1.581138 1.798145 2.045205 2.317798 2.641501
2025-11-30 0.944658 1.172108 1.441722 1.785031 2.210892 2.722292 3.383898
2025-12-07 0.773349 1.019491 1.329245 1.747974 2.299978 3.003936 3.971885
2025-12-14 0.645758 0.894324 1.222732 1.688860 2.334618 3.199556 4.449602
2025-12-21 0.563146 0.813929 1.159528 1.671231 2.411308 3.445697 5.006764
2025-12-28 0.515930 0.774761 1.145180 1.714823 2.571150 3.814661 5.765774
2026-01-04 0.457144 0.710759 1.086385 1.684301 2.615287 4.015087 6.290680
2026-01-11 0.424809 0.682151 1.075639 1.722391 2.762884 4.378809 7.093912
2026-01-18 0.390364 0.646000 1.048677 1.730646 2.861812 4.672513 7.810269
2026-01-25 0.354084 0.602774 1.005610 1.707322 2.905155 4.877936 8.397409
2026-02-01 0.318957 0.557700 0.954778 1.665138 2.911166 5.019400 8.885615
2026-02-08 0.292354 0.524406 0.920216 1.646559 2.954164 5.224336 9.498714
2026-02-15 0.269932 0.499200 0.902235 1.664712 3.080740 5.616185 10.543237
2026-02-22 0.244522 0.466425 0.868628 1.653414 3.157635 5.936718 11.513412
2026-03-01 0.219364 0.430941 0.825754 1.619129 3.186253 6.169299 12.341393
2026-03-08 0.194954 0.393896 0.775575 1.564406 3.167947 6.308597 12.999741
2026-03-15 0.177981 0.369469 0.746807 1.548085 3.222700 6.594074 13.982716
2026-03-22 0.168877 0.359898 0.746218 1.588441 3.396655 7.135668 15.558405
2026-03-29 0.153919 0.336358 0.714587 1.560185 3.423005 7.374774 16.514221
2026-04-05 0.146305 0.327653 0.712842 1.595447 3.589370 7.926466 18.218850
2026-04-12 0.136990 0.314136 0.699307 1.603088 3.695130 8.357061 19.699412
2026-04-19 0.126237 0.296170 0.674101 1.581497 3.731897 8.637297 20.863272
2026-04-26 0.115247 0.276439 0.642865 1.542445 3.723510 8.813051 21.798333